Coach Gase likes the new running game, but should we?


TL;DR I don't think so coach, let's see what happens next week.

Coach Adam Gase says he is optimistic about the new run. Even though we still have no rushing TD yet for the season and we just lost to the Raiders. However, there were reasons for optimism in a breakout run and overall decent yards per carry in said game. The questions stands, should we be optimistic?

Like always let us look at the facts. Reality is we lost... but I am going to look deeper into the stats, specifically, how Oakland's run defense holds up. They rank 27th. For comparison, Miami ranks 7th. So looking at this games rushing yards is not an accurate measurement of skill. Diving a bit deeper into the stats you can figure out that they allow around 116yrds rushing per game (94yrds allowed for the Phins). These figures don't give me much optimism when you start looking at what other strong run offenses have done against the Raiders. Using the Ravens as a mutual opponent comparison you can see that they put up 146yrds against the Raiders, in contrast to our 86yrds. They also averaged a slightly higher yards per rush than we did 3.7 to our 3.1 yards per rush. All this amounts to a maybe not-so-positive outlook in the weeks to come.

Additionally, we must understand that Drake does not have the experience Ajayi had. But then again Jay had a breakout rookie year with us so maybe there is something to be hopeful for. Really only time will tell. So no offense coach, I may just keep my optimism in my pocket for now. Ask me again next week.

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